View E · Draft Trade Value
What is each pick actually worth?
The Jimmy Johnson chart was a gut-feel tool drawn up in Dallas in the early ’90s. This chart is rebuilt from 42 settled draft classes (1980–2021) — the actual careers that picks produced. Both lines are scaled so pick #1 = 3,000.
Y axis
Our chart
Jimmy Johnson
Hover / tap the chart to see per-pick numbers. Our chart is built from 1980–2021 settled classes; values rescaled so pick #1 = 3000.
Trade calculator
Enter each side’s picks as comma-separated numbers. We’ll compute the total value under our chart and under Jimmy Johnson’s, then tell you who wins.
Team A sends
#5
Our total
2809
JJ total
1700
Team B sends
#20#52
Our total
3303
JJ total
1150
Our chart verdict
B +494
team B gets more value
Jimmy Johnson verdict
A +550
team A gets more value
Biggest disagreements
Where our outcome-based chart diverges most from the traditional Jimmy Johnson values.
JJ overvalues · our chart gives less credit
#1
ours 3000
JJ 3000
+0
#261
ours 178
JJ 0
+178
#262
ours 191
JJ 0
+191
#259
ours 198
JJ 0
+198
#260
ours 199
JJ 0
+199
#258
ours 202
JJ 0
+202
#257
ours 210
JJ 0
+210
#256
ours 216
JJ 0
+216
#255
ours 226
JJ 0
+226
#254
ours 236
JJ 0
+236
JJ undervalues · our chart gives more credit
#37
ours 1702
JJ 480
+1222
#8
ours 2618
JJ 1400
+1218
#32
ours 1797
JJ 580
+1217
#38
ours 1670
JJ 460
+1210
#34
ours 1746
JJ 540
+1206
#36
ours 1705
JJ 500
+1205
#39
ours 1645
JJ 440
+1205
#33
ours 1764
JJ 560
+1204
#35
ours 1717
JJ 520
+1197
#31
ours 1793
JJ 600
+1193
n = 12670 picks · sample window 1980–2021 · smoothing window ±5 picks · anchor AV (pick 1) = 57.42